Emma Clare Forum 3

Emma Clare Forum 3

by Deleted user -
Number of replies: 3

I found this documentary about the 1918 flu pandemic super interesting!! I do believe that we could see another flu pandemic or another type of pandemic with the "Next Big One." I believe that the world does have a carrying capacity. The term carrying capacity means "the maximum, equilibrium number of organisms of a particular species that can be supported indefinitely in a given environment" (Dictionary.com). I believe that this future pandemic is a way of controlling the earth's carrying capacity and keeping it from reaching its fullest amount. There are only so many people the earth can sustain and when we get close to reaching that point, I believe a pandemic will occur. When the earth's population reaches a certain number, many people often question whether or not our natural resources are going to be able to keep up with our demands. World Population History states that "Our growing population, coupled with rising affluence and per capita impact, is driving our planet closer to its tipping point" (World Population History). I believe that the tipping point will be when another pandemic will occur. 

Another reason I believe we are due for another pandemic is that our earth goes through cycles. CNN health states that we are long overdue for another pandemic. Garcia-Sastre states that "there is no good way to predict when a flu pandemic will occur but it is something that happens every 10 to 40 years" (Livescience.com). The earth goes through cycles of different changes and one of those changes is some large outbreak of a disease. Because of the cycles our world travels through, scientists believe that we are due for an outbreak and therefore are striving to be prepared for when that outbreak does occur. CNN health also states that "we have learned a lot over the past 100 years and are better prepared because of it" (CNN health). Doctors and Scientists are striving to become more aware of the virus that will cause the pandemic so that when this pandemic does occur, there will be a treatment for the infected people. 

I do believe that the "Next Big One" will be the flu. The influenza virus mutates rapidly and has many different strains therefore I do believe there could be a mutation of the virus that could cause another Flu Pandemic! 

“We're Due For a Flu Pandemic. How Will It Start?” LiveScience, Purch, www.livescience.com/64992-how-flu-becomes-pandemic.html.

Gupta, Dr. Sanjay. “The Big One Is Coming, and It's Going to Be a Flu Pandemic.” CNN, Cable News Network, 7 Nov. 2018, www.cnn.com/2017/04/07/health/flu-pandemic-sanjay-gupta/index.html.

“Carrying Capacity.” World Population, worldpopulationhistory.org/carrying-capacity/.

“Carrying Capacity.” Dictionary.com, Dictionary.com, www.dictionary.com/browse/carrying-capacity?s=t.





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In reply to Deleted user

Re: Emma Clare Forum 3

by Deleted user -
Similar to you, I believe that the Flu will be the “Next Big One.” As stated in the video, we have over 7.7 million people on earth, and for all citizens to survive, there needs to be a way to kill a percentage of the population. The term carrying capacity is a fascinating point because we are starting to see it now with the Coronavirus. You describe the earth's population is exponentially increasing, creating densities that are incapable of sustaining the environment. That is similar to the Coronavirus that is going on with killing many people off, so eventually, we could continue to live on earth. I never knew that our earth goes through cycles with bringing large outbreaks. In these cycles, does it mean wildfires or environmental harms? Essentially how does the earth go through cycles? Though scientist has learned a lot from previous pandemics, I read that if we were to get a vaccine out 24 weeks sooner, it could be the change of 2 million dying to 20,000 dying. Do you believe we (as humans) are capable of being ready for the Next Big One?

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In reply to Deleted user

Re: Emma Clare Forum 3

by Connor West -
I totally agree that the Earth does have a max capacity and tipping point. I believe eventually there will be so many people on this Earth and there will be over population which will make transmission of a virus so much easier. Especially airborne transmission. If there is over population there will be people elbow to elbow especially in the urban cities. It will make it way to easy for humans to inhale a virus in the air. I believe when this outbreak happens however, that our doctors and epidemiologists will do a good job of studying the new strand of the virus and use all the new medical technology we have to our advantage.

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In reply to Deleted user

Re: Emma Clare Forum 3

by Deleted user -
I never looked at the perspective of us having another pandemic due to population. After taking a class in urban environmental studies, and diving into the human side of science this is a real possibility. The world is already busting at the seams and a large reason is caused by over consumption. If we can’t control our consumption we begin to tap into areas where we wouldn’t typically think in order to meet our needs. Think about how we have turned to our standards of living decreasing and the kinds of foods we eat. These things add to our exposure to higher exposure of infection. Another pandemic is entirely possible and you bring great perspective to this topic!

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